111DMA vs 2×350DMA, computed live — the crossover that marked three cycle tops.
This page fetches the last 1,000 daily closes and computes the two moving averages that define the Pi Cycle Top indicator — the 111-day MA and twice the 350-day MA — then shows how close they are to crossing. The crossover has coincided, within roughly three days, with the blow-off tops of April 2013, December 2017 and April 2021.
The 111DMA tracks fast, euphoric price acceleration late in bull markets; the doubled 350DMA represents a stretched long-term trend. When short-term momentum runs so hot that its average overtakes double the yearly trend, historically the market had exhausted itself. The 350/111 ≈ π coincidence gave it the name.
Watching the binary trigger misses the information in the distance. A ratio around 0.4–0.6 says conditions are nothing like past tops; 0.8+ says momentum is genuinely stretched. The needle above maps the current ratio against those zones.
Three data points make a pattern, not a law. Structural changes — spot ETFs, institutional custody, deeper derivatives — may damp the blow-off dynamics this indicator relies on. Pair it with valuation metrics like MVRV rather than trading on it alone.
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